{"generatedAt":"2026-09-01T19:46:36.409Z","note":"Measured BTC reactions to FOMC statements (14:00 ET), from our minute record. Description, not prediction: reaction sizes are real, direction has been near a coin flip.","meetings_measured":17,"avg_abs_30m_move_pct":0.449,"vs_normal_half_hour":2.7,"up_share_30m":0.35,"next_meeting":{"event_time":"2026-09-16T18:00:00.000Z","label":"FOMC statement · September 15-16, 2026"},"recent_reactions":[{"event_time":"2026-07-29T18:00:00.000Z","label":"FOMC statement · July 28-29, 2026","move_5m_pct":0.15767150472781494,"move_30m_pct":-0.13261216389742336,"move_60m_pct":0.33230865014202887,"range_30m_pct":1.0454881512899403},{"event_time":"2026-06-17T18:00:00.000Z","label":"FOMC statement · June 16-17, 2026","move_5m_pct":-1.835996797486429,"move_30m_pct":-1.064881169492586,"move_60m_pct":-0.7369110878708713,"range_30m_pct":1.3771111087568184},{"event_time":"2026-04-29T18:00:00.000Z","label":"FOMC statement · April 28-29, 2026","move_5m_pct":-0.40084266268802515,"move_30m_pct":-1.5370451118734574,"move_60m_pct":-0.846340143630921,"range_30m_pct":1.656168406453409},{"event_time":"2026-03-18T18:00:00.000Z","label":"FOMC statement · March 17-18, 2026","move_5m_pct":0.397447614895054,"move_30m_pct":0.3495135319453289,"move_60m_pct":-0.5366381298161176,"range_30m_pct":0.6469004955517648},{"event_time":"2026-01-28T19:00:00.000Z","label":"FOMC statement · January 27-28, 2026","move_5m_pct":-0.2926224287996717,"move_30m_pct":-0.047932425336023265,"move_60m_pct":-0.07899353079853531,"range_30m_pct":0.7375336588417909},{"event_time":"2025-12-10T19:00:00.000Z","label":"FOMC statement · December 9-10, 2025","move_5m_pct":-0.3285061569214496,"move_30m_pct":0.18269571914399557,"move_60m_pct":0.3623627348326858,"range_30m_pct":1.6411246008601486},{"event_time":"2025-10-29T18:00:00.000Z","label":"FOMC statement · October 28-29, 2025","move_5m_pct":-0.4282802700428358,"move_30m_pct":-0.40100412004010816,"move_60m_pct":-0.6934402200693518,"range_30m_pct":0.8298209700829768},{"event_time":"2025-09-17T18:00:00.000Z","label":"FOMC statement · September 16-17, 2025","move_5m_pct":0.6247834822975076,"move_30m_pct":0.3125649553107412,"move_60m_pct":-0.2720328414051183,"range_30m_pct":1.2175223446268992}],"page":"https://bykaranteli.com/events"}